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Far from a concession or benefit to Tehran, the channel has instead led to a fair bit of criticism from Iranian hardliners, who claim the channel undermines national sovereignty by allowing foreign powers to decide what technology Iran can and can't have access to. Hence, the removal of the channel would make it easier for Iran to acquire sensitive technology, and it'd be welcomed by hardliners.
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Similarly, some have called on the administration to pressure its allies into stopping the redesign of the Arak Heavy Water Research Reactor—aimed at significantly reducing the amount of plutonium produced by the reactor—and the underground Fordow complex, which was once used for uranium enrichment, but is being repurposed to pose less of a proliferation concern. If international partners withdraw their efforts from those facilities and leave them incomplete, Iran would have more of an incentive, not less, to convert these facilities back to their pre-JCPOA designs, increasing the proliferation risk.
Finally, recognizing that aggressive measures could in fact prompt Iran to expand its nuclear program, advocates for the pressure approach have proposed using military action should Iran resume nuclear activities halted under the deal.
There are incredibly few scenarios that would warrant a U. It is this calculation that perhaps exposes the deepest—and most dangerous flaw—of an indiscriminate maximum pressure approach: Being willing to rely on military force to achieve a goal that was already met via peaceful means.
Iran’s Nuclear Program | bartamedenro.tk
Taken together, these recommendations probably won't help the United States force Iran to roll back its nuclear program. Instead, they could lay the foundations for its expansion, divide the United States from its most important allies, and, ultimately, increase the risk of conflict. In advocating for this type of pressure, those hoping to see the nuclear deal's demise are offering advice that appears counter to their objective of stopping Iran from getting a nuclear weapon.
A version of this commentary originally appeared on foreignpolicy.
Transparency and the NPT: New Goals and Norms
Commentary gives RAND researchers a platform to convey insights based on their professional expertise and often on their peer-reviewed research and analysis. Tabatabai and Eric Brewer One of President Donald Trump's chief foreign policy objectives is to strike a deal with Iran to end or significantly reduce the regime's ballistic missile and nuclear programs and regional activities.
Related Resources. Commentary The U. Is Out of the Iran Deal.